
A friend of mine is hit hard by the 40% plus drop in his 401k and the daily gyration haven’t made it any easier. He was seriously considering cashing out of his 401k and stop contributing altogether. After a long conversation with him, I was able to explain to him why this was a bad idea.
If you are planning to cash out of your 401k, there are several consequences that you’ll have to face — and these are expensive consequences.
First, you’ll have to pay the federal income tax at your marginal tax rate for the entire amount of withdrawal. Depending on your tax bracket, you could pay anywhere from 10% to 35% on the amount withdrawn. Let’s say your normal income will be $50,000 this year and you withdraw $25,000 from your 401k. You’ll have to pay 25% in federal income tax, or $6,250.
Depending on your city and state laws, your withdrawal can be taxable to the city and state also. Let’s assume this is about 10%, that’s another $2,500.
You’re not left with $16,250.
If you’re younger than 59½ — and my friend is significantly younger — you’ll be assessed another 10% on the withdrawal amount. Follow the example above, that’s another $2,500 gone and you’re left with $13,750.
Depending on your investment options, you may be assessed redemption fees. For example, some of our investment options — i.e., international funds and small-cap funds — assess 1% penalty on shares purchased and redeemed within 180 days.
I believe that in the long-term the stock market can sustain an 8% annual growth rate. Since my friend has about 30 more years to go, the $11,250 paid in taxes and penalty represents approximately $105,000 in lost potential.
I think $116,250 is extraordinarily expensive price to pay for a $25,000 withdrawal because your emotion got the better of you.
Our company matches 50 cents on the dollar up to 6%. Since my friend contributes 10% of his $50,000 salary, the match comes to about $1,500 a year. If he stops, that’s $1,500 out the window right away.
As it is, my friend is able to write off $5,000 in tax deduction for federal, state, and city level each year. For him that amounts to about 35%, or $1,750 in tax savings.
His idea is to put the money in a high yield savings account instead of the stock market. Since you have to pay income taxes on earned interest at the same rate, he’s looking at another immediate 35% loss on his interest income. These things do add up quick don’t they?
Again, we are talking about opportunity cost because the best time to buy is when you see blood on the street — and it’s messy out there right now. If you are able to stay with your long-term strategy, this is a great opportunity to average down your cost basis. In other words, buy more shares at really cheap prices.
Only you could answer that question because you know your risk tolerance level and time horizon the best. As for my friend, it’s apparent that he’s nervous about the current market decline and volatility. So I told him to seriously reconsider his risk tolerance level and adjust his future investment allocation accordingly; specifically, he should consider adding a little more money to fixed-income and income fund options. Additionally, I also told him that scaling back on his contribution, or reallocating a big chunk of money right now is probably not a good idea.
Have you encountered a similar situation? How did you handle it?

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I think that now is the time to keep contributing and not mess with 401k your asset allocation. If you can afford to increase your contributions, fine, if not that’s ok as long as you don’t decrease them because you are afraid the market is going to go to zero.
Anyways, my research has shown to me that every dollar that you invest in stocks now will generate about 1 dollar in income 35-40 years from now. At least that has been true from 1920-2008..
Recently I saw a newletter published by a local bank that said the safest place for your money (not just short-term funds) is in “guaranteed” investments. Their catch phrase was “return of investment is more important now than return on investment.”
Keep plugging away on your 401k and put your contributions into a diversified mix of ownership positions. The wealth building process is like a yo-yo climbing a flight of stairs. Expect to lose money 2 to 3 times per decade and once in awhile (like now) there will be a big drop. But every bear market has been followed by a bull market.
The Fed is pumping out money like there is no tomorrow – http://research.stlouisfed.org...../page3.pdf. Eventually this will trigger a major surge in the stock market. Owners of tangible assets (not dollar-based assets) will be the winners at the end of this shakeout.
@DGI — I completely agree. I think this is the best time to add more money to your plans. As for your research, I am interested in learning more about it.
@Manarin — Interesting chart. I think your local bank is just playing on the fear and going with the flow of emotion.
When the market is as down as much as it is, long term savings are almost guarenteed to generate pretty impressive long term returns. If you have a decently long time horizon to retirement (10 years or more), stoping retirement investing or pulling money is exactly the wrong type of response.
I totally agree. If you cash out now you are just locking in loses. Like Buffet has said, be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful. Right now everyone seems to be fearful. It is a buying opportunity.
@Shadox — I agree with your assessment. 40% discount makes for a terrific buying opportunity.
@Tom — Locking in your losses is also something that I should mention in my article. Excellent add.
I think now is the time to stop contributing to 401K if you have already got your employer match or lower or raise it to only so much that you capture the match..
Remember Lehman Brother was steal at 40 bucks, then at 30 then at 20, 10, 5 , 2 and now worthless…so any amount of investing would have given you ZERO…
Telling people that “Now is not the time to cash out your 401K” or “Now is the time to increase your 401K contributions” Is all well and good if you are rich or have alot in your 401K, But I have lost almost 50% of my 401K due to the bad economy and crap stock market. Forcasters are predicting that the economy and market will be bad for at least another 1-2 years. At the rate I have been losing money, my 401K will be gone in another 1-1/2 years. I will take mine out now and take the tax hit. Taking a tax hit on my money and having it in my hand is much better than waiting and having nothing.
@Praveen and Bill – Good luck with your decisions. I am still trudging forward with my original plan.