I was recently looking at some stats regarding the US Market (Wilshire 5000 Total Return index). As of February 28, 2010, over the last 10 years the market return was 0.1%. Hmmm. That’s not very high. That means for the last ten years, if you invested in the Wilshire 5000 you would have almost nothing to show for it — you would have done better by simply keeping your money in a saving account or a money market mutual fund. Professional financial folks call this decade ‘The Lost Decade’ because the market is right back to where it was 10 years ago.
However, in every economic crisis there is always great news. That became clear during the 2008-2009 economic events.
I opened my Roth IRA in the summer of 2000 – one decade ago. I use part of my Roth IRA to fund my kids’ college and part of it to fund my retirement. Therefore, it would seem as though I should be depressed about the lost decade. However, I think the lost decade has been great for young investors. In fact, personally, I would not mind a back-to-back lost decade.
There are lessons and good news from the lost decade.
If I had put money in the market 10 years ago and tried to pull it out today, it is quite possible that I would have nothing to show for my investing efforts.
However, if a person was investing on a regular basis through all of the downs and ups along the way, they would have actually made some gains over the last ten years.
When the market goes down, it is typical for people to panic. There must be some kind of sympathetic genes that we all possess because if everyone else is complaining about the market being down, we figure that we should also complain.
However, the younger you are, the more you should want bear markets. The fact that the market has been up and down just means younger investors have been able to position themselves really well for the future.
A major reason why young people don’t start investing young is because they feel intimidated by the process. The obvious solution is to learn how to start investing so you can start to build your returns.
I’ll be honest that with stocks now up 50% over the last year, it feels easier to buy. But that is not how investing works. When everyone is yelling about the collapse of the market, you should be buying. When everyone is shouting — buy now!, you might need to slow down.
Anyone who buys and sells based on emotions is likely to lose out. Here are some common sense investing rules to help give your investing some structure.
I recently read that Americans net worth would need to increase 21% to get back to pre-recession highs. My reaction was the same as the author — why? I suspect (in fact, I know because you can see what the market did) that far too many people panicked and sold their investments.
I stuck with a value averaging investment strategy where I tried to keep up with the declining market by investing more money. Unfortunately, the downward turn was too much for me to fund, but those hard buy decisions (after months of losses) actually helped my net worth.
Markets are unpredictable because people are unpredictable.
Your investing experience can be extremely positive or negative based on your overall financial health. It is important to get out of debt before you start investing. Over the last decade, you could have been paying more money down on your 10%+ in car loan payments or credit card debt, but instead you decided to invest in the market. Unfortunately, at this point, it is evident that you might have been better off getting your debt in order before investing.
The emotional impact of investing losses are minimized when you are financially healthy. If you are investing and in debt, you will feel the emotional pain of every market drop. If you avoid the debt bondage lifestyle investing is less emotional
Put your investing plan in place and move along. Make decisions based on that plan — not based on your emotions. And remember, when there is bad news for everyone, there might just be good news for you if you’re willing to really evaluate the potential of every situation.